Análisis NAC Breda vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
22.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 1976 |
SPA
3 - 3
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 0
ADO
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 sep. 1976 |
PSV
5 - 1
NAC
81%
13%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 sep. 1976 |
NAC
2 - 0
HFC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 1976 |
AZA
4 - 1
NAC
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 1976 |
AJA
3 - 2
EIN
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
MUD
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 3
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1976 |
ADO
1 - 2
AJA
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1976 |
AJA
1 - 0
PSV
59%
20%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |