Análisis NAC Breda vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
59%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 ene. 1980 |
EXC
4 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1979 |
ADO
3 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
16%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 1979 |
NAC
0 - 0
MVV
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1979 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ene. 1980 |
AJA
7 - 1
WIL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 1979 |
AJA
6 - 0
EXC
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 4
AJA
23%
25%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 1979 |
AJA
3 - 0
ADO
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1979 |
MVV
0 - 2
AJA
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |