Análisis NAC Breda vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1972 |
NAC
0 - 2
ADO
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 1972 |
TWE
5 - 1
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1972 |
BOS
3 - 2
NAC
40%
24%
37%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 1972 |
NAC
2 - 0
VOL
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
VIT
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 1972 |
SPA
5 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1972 |
TWE
3 - 0
EXC
86%
10%
5%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 feb. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 4
AJA
10%
17%
73%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |