Análisis NAC Breda vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1974 |
SPA
4 - 2
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 1
MVV
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 1974 |
ADO
4 - 1
NAC
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 sep. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 4
AJA
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1974 |
GRA
1 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 1974 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1974 |
EXC
2 - 2
SPA
22%
28%
50%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 sep. 1974 |
MVV
0 - 1
EXC
68%
21%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 sep. 1974 |
EXC
0 - 0
ADO
30%
31%
39%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |