Análisis NAC Breda vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.22
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.3%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
9.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPA
37%
27%
35%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 1975 |
FEY
4 - 0
NAC
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 ago. 1975 |
AMS
2 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 may. 1975 |
NAC
3 - 1
HFC
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |
| 04 may. 1975 |
UTR
0 - 1
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ago. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
27%
29%
45%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 1975 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
91%
7%
2%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 5
TEL
36%
31%
34%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 may. 1975 |
EXC
1 - 1
AZA
34%
31%
36%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 may. 1975 |
HFC
1 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |