Análisis NAC Breda vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
24.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 3
FEY
16%
24%
61%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 may. 1983 |
UTR
2 - 3
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 2
WIL
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1983 |
AZA
3 - 3
NAC
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 2
RJC
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1984 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 may. 1984 |
EXC
2 - 1
GAE
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 1984 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 1984 |
HFC
2 - 2
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |