Análisis NAC Breda vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
27.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2003 |
NEC
2 - 0
NAC
36%
26%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCH
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2003 |
VIT
4 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 1
FEY
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
RKC
55%
24%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2003 |
UTR
2 - 2
EXC
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 2
JON
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 dic. 2002 |
EXC
0 - 2
AJA
27%
25%
49%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 2
EXC
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2002 |
EXC
2 - 2
TWE
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |