Análisis NAC Breda vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.61
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ago. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
OFI
41%
26%
32%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 2
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
PSV
2 - 0
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
RKC
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2014 |
GRO
2 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 ago. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
23%
23%
55%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 0
FCO
72%
17%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2014 |
JON
1 - 2
EXC
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2014 |
JON
0 - 2
EXC
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRA
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |