Análisis NAC Breda vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 2021 |
RJC
3 - 3
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
JUT
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2021 |
NAC
0 - 1
GAE
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 2021 |
JON
1 - 1
NAC
34%
25%
42%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 1
GRA
29%
25%
46%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 abr. 2021 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 abr. 2021 |
BVO
7 - 2
EXC
76%
16%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
63%
20%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2021 |
EXC
0 - 3
HEL
72%
17%
12%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |