Análisis NAC Breda vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 ago. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
POL
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2009 |
ADO
1 - 2
NAC
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 jul. 2009 |
POL
0 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 jul. 2009 |
GAN
0 - 2
NAC
30%
24%
45%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 jul. 2009 |
NAC
6 - 0
GAN
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 ago. 2009 |
HER
3 - 2
AZA
16%
22%
62%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
HER
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
18%
25%
57%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2009 |
HER
4 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +2 |