Eredivisie Jor. 11

Análisis NAC Breda vs Heracles

NAC Breda Heracles
67 ELO 73
7.5% Tilt 14.4%
617º Ranking ELO general 381º
20º Ranking ELO país 15º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
28.3%
NAC Breda
24.2%
Empate
47.6%
Heracles

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
28.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
NAC Breda
1.23
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Heracles
1.66
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
NAC Breda
-8%
-7%
Heracles

Progresión del ELO

NAC Breda
Heracles
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 oct. 2018
ADO
ADO Den Haag
1 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
49%
25%
26%
66 69 3 0
21 oct. 2018
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 2
Willem II
WIL
33%
25%
42%
66 71 5 0
05 oct. 2018
UTR
Utrecht
2 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
61%
22%
17%
67 77 10 -1
29 sep. 2018
NAC
NAC Breda
0 - 2
PSV
PSV
8%
15%
77%
66 89 23 +1
25 sep. 2018
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
2 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
13%
17%
70%
67 53 14 -1

Partidos

Heracles
Heracles
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 oct. 2018
HER
Heracles
0 - 2
Vitesse
VIT
40%
24%
35%
74 78 4 0
27 oct. 2018
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 1
Heracles
HER
34%
25%
41%
74 70 4 0
21 oct. 2018
HER
Heracles
4 - 1
Groningen
GRO
47%
24%
30%
74 71 3 0
07 oct. 2018
VIT
Vitesse
4 - 0
Heracles
HER
51%
23%
26%
75 79 4 -1
30 sep. 2018
HER
Heracles
2 - 1
Emmen
FCE
67%
19%
14%
75 64 11 0