Análisis NAC Breda vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
-28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 1962 |
ADO
2 - 3
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1962 |
NAC
4 - 1
VVV
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 may. 1962 |
PSV
4 - 1
NAC
63%
18%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 1962 |
NAC
0 - 0
FOR
57%
21%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1962 |
FCB
0 - 2
NAC
52%
22%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 1962 |
RJC
1 - 5
WIL
43%
23%
34%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 may. 1962 |
WIL
4 - 5
DVO
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 may. 1962 |
ADO
0 - 3
WIL
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 abr. 1962 |
WIL
1 - 2
VVV
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1962 |
PSV
3 - 2
WIL
68%
17%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |