Análisis NAC Breda vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 1997 |
NAC
3 - 0
VOL
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 1997 |
AZA
0 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1997 |
NAC
2 - 2
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 1997 |
SPA
2 - 4
NAC
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 1996 |
FOR
2 - 2
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 1997 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 1997 |
FOR
2 - 0
WIL
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 1997 |
RJC
2 - 1
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1997 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1996 |
WIL
3 - 0
UTR
63%
20%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |