Análisis NAC Breda vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.8%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2006 |
IJS
2 - 4
NAC
17%
19%
64%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2006 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2006 |
ADO
0 - 2
NAC
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 ago. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
AJA
15%
21%
64%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
AZA
8 - 1
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2006 |
FLE
0 - 2
WIL
20%
21%
60%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2006 |
EXC
3 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
PSV
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2006 |
SCH
5 - 0
WIL
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 1
UTR
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |