Análisis NAC Breda vs Willem II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 2
SCH
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2013 |
AZA
0 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
HER
32%
25%
42%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2013 |
WIL
1 - 0
VVV
51%
23%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2013 |
ZWO
2 - 0
WIL
71%
19%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 3
NEC
29%
25%
45%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2013 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
80%
15%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2013 |
HER
4 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |