Análisis Nacional AM vs Ceará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
43.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.38
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1986 |
NAC
1 - 1
SOB
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1986 |
VAS
2 - 1
NAC
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1986 |
NAC
2 - 1
SCI
31%
31%
39%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 1986 |
CEA
1 - 2
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1986 |
NAC
1 - 3
COR
33%
30%
37%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 nov. 1986 |
CEA
2 - 2
VAS
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 1986 |
CEA
3 - 1
SOB
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 nov. 1986 |
CRI
2 - 0
CEA
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 oct. 1986 |
CEA
1 - 2
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 1986 |
COR
4 - 0
CEA
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |