Análisis Nacional vs 3 de Febrero
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2007 |
CCP
3 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 2
LQE
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2007 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
NAC
3 - 1
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
LQE
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
OLI
2 - 2
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
AME
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 feb. 2007 |
TAC
2 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 nov. 2006 |
OLI
1 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |