Análisis Nacional vs Cruz Azul
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 dic. 2011 |
NAC
5 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 4
TAC
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2012 |
CAZ
2 - 0
JAG
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAZ
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PAC
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2012 |
ATS
0 - 2
CAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
51%
25%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |