Análisis Nacional vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
51.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2012 |
CER
2 - 3
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
71%
19%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 ago. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
IND
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 jul. 2012 |
CCP
1 - 2
GUA
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |