Análisis Nacional vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
43%
Probabilidad gana
1.32
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
CCP
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2022 |
AME
2 - 3
NAC
33%
28%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
64%
23%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2022 |
RES
0 - 1
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 1
AME
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2022 |
12O
0 - 1
GUA
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
RES
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 sep. 2022 |
LIB
0 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2022 |
JLM
3 - 0
GUA
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |