Análisis Nacional vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.46
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 nov. 2004 |
LQE
3 - 3
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
51%
24%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 oct. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 3
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 1
SPC
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 0
12O
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2004 |
LQE
3 - 1
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 oct. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 3
LIB
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |