Análisis Nacional vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2006 |
CCP
4 - 3
NAC
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2006 |
OLI
3 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 2006 |
NAC
3 - 0
FER
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 5
NAC
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2006 |
NAC
5 - 6
2DE
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 0
PAU
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 1
LQE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 1
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |