Análisis Nacional vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jun. 2008 |
PET
1 - 4
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 may. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 1
12O
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2008 |
2DE
0 - 4
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 jun. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 3
LQE
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2008 |
AME
0 - 1
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2008 |
PET
0 - 4
LIB
30%
30%
40%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |