Análisis Nacional vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 2009 |
LQE
0 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
65%
21%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 sep. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 2
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
2DE
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 2
LIB
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
CCP
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 1
LDU
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |