Análisis Nacional vs Libertad
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
NAC
4 - 0
TAC
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 1
LIB
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2009 |
EST
3 - 0
LIB
55%
26%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2009 |
LIB
0 - 2
JAG
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |