Análisis Nacional vs Monterrey
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
21.5%
Probabilidad gana
1
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2010 |
SPC
1 - 0
NAC
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
AME
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 2010 |
ONC
1 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2010 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
SNL
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2010 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
SAO
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |