Análisis Nacional vs Olimpia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.67
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 3
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
TAC
0 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 3
CCP
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2004 |
12O
0 - 2
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 oct. 2004 |
OLI
0 - 2
SPC
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 2
LQE
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 oct. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 2
12O
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 1
GUA
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |