Análisis Nacional vs Olimpia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2004 |
TAC
2 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
37%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 2
AME
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 3
CCP
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 3
GUA
57%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2004 |
CEN
2 - 1
OLI
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
AME
0 - 0
OLI
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 1
COT
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |