Análisis Nacional vs Olimpia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 may. 2006 |
FER
2 - 2
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2006 |
2DE
0 - 0
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 may. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 may. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 abr. 2006 |
NAC
5 - 1
LQE
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2006 |
OLI
2 - 3
SAN
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2006 |
OLI
6 - 1
TAC
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 may. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
OLI
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 may. 2006 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 abr. 2006 |
FER
1 - 3
OLI
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |