Análisis Nacional vs Olimpia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
AME
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2007 |
TAC
1 - 0
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 0
12O
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
SPT
2 - 2
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 abr. 2007 |
LQE
2 - 2
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2007 |
OLI
0 - 1
CCP
39%
26%
34%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
OLI
1 - 0
AME
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
OLI
3 - 2
12O
58%
24%
19%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |