Análisis Nacional vs Olimpia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
58%
24%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2008 |
CCP
2 - 3
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 2008 |
2DE
1 - 1
OLI
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2008 |
OLI
3 - 1
12O
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 sep. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 3
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 2
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |