Análisis Nacional vs Olimpia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
LQE
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2009 |
AME
0 - 3
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
RÑU
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 nov. 2009 |
12O
2 - 0
NAC
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | -1 |
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 0
2DE
61%
22%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 1
OLI
44%
28%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2009 |
OLI
4 - 1
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 nov. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 2
CCP
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |