Análisis Nacional vs Olimpia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2010 |
CCP
3 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPC
64%
22%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 2
ONC
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAC
27%
25%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
AME
2 - 5
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 1
SPT
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2010 |
LQE
1 - 1
OLI
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 2
TAC
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
RÑU
1 - 0
OLI
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |