Análisis Nacional vs Olimpia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
31.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.22
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.45
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jul. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
35%
25%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 jun. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 jun. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jul. 2017 |
AME
0 - 3
OLI
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
35%
25%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 0
OLI
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2017 |
OLI
2 - 2
AME
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2017 |
LIB
3 - 0
OLI
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |