Análisis Nacional vs Tacuary
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 feb. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
NAC
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2006 |
UNI
0 - 0
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 dic. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 feb. 2006 |
TAC
3 - 2
SAN
47%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2006 |
LQE
1 - 1
TAC
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 dic. 2005 |
TAC
6 - 3
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 2005 |
LQE
4 - 1
TAC
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 nov. 2005 |
TAC
1 - 0
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |