Análisis Nacional vs Tacuary
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2008 |
LQE
0 - 5
NAC
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 0
OLI
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2008 |
TAC
0 - 0
LQE
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 2
TAC
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2008 |
TAC
2 - 5
GUA
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 abr. 2008 |
TAC
1 - 2
LIB
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
PET
1 - 0
TAC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |