Copa Libertadores Octavos
Global 1-6
Análisis Nacional vs Cruzeiro
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.3
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
CSC
73%
18%
10%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2010 |
CRZ
3 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
FEN
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
MOR
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2010 |
CRZ
3 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
CRZ
1 - 3
IFC
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
CRZ
24%
21%
55%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
IFC
0 - 0
CRZ
18%
22%
59%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2010 |
USC
0 - 3
CRZ
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |