Análisis Nacional vs Danubio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
87.8%
Probabilidad gana
7.13
Goles esperados
10-0
3%
+10
3%
9-0
4.1%
10-1
2.7%
+9
6.9%
8-0
5.2%
9-1
3.9%
10-2
1.3%
+8
10.4%
7-0
5.9%
8-1
4.9%
9-2
1.8%
10-3
0.4%
+7
12.9%
6-0
5.8%
7-1
5.5%
8-2
2.3%
9-3
0.6%
10-4
0.1%
+6
14.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
5.4%
7-2
2.5%
8-3
0.7%
9-4
0.1%
10-5
<0%
+5
13.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
2.5%
7-3
0.8%
8-4
0.2%
9-5
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
0.2%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
2.4%
1%
Empate
0-0
<0%
1-1
0.2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
1%
0.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
0%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
0.3%
0-2
0%
1-3
0%
2-4
0%
3-5
0%
-2
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+11%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 1984 |
OCT
1 - 3
NAC
12%
24%
64%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
NAC
2%
27%
70%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 mar. 1984 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
3%
27%
70%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 jul. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 jul. 1983 |
NAC
5 - 1
CRI
90%
8%
2%
|
84 | 36 | 48 | 0 |
Partidos
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 0
DAN
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
DAN
47%
22%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1984 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
3%
27%
70%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 1978 |
DAN
3 - 0
CAL
57%
22%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 jul. 1978 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUN
55%
21%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |