Análisis Nacional vs Danubio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
66.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.4%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 2
NAC
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
REN
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
OPE
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 2
NAC
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
Partidos
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2014 |
DAN
2 - 1
LFC
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
CER
1 - 1
DAN
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2014 |
DAN
1 - 1
CEL
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2014 |
EME
0 - 2
DAN
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |