Análisis Nacional vs Danubio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2020 |
NAC
5 - 1
CER
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 ago. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 0
NAC
25%
28%
47%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2020 |
LFC
2 - 1
DAN
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2020 |
DAN
0 - 0
DEF
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2020 |
CER
1 - 2
DAN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2020 |
DAN
2 - 0
FEN
38%
27%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 ago. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
DAN
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |