Análisis Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+38%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2005 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 0
LFC
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2005 |
NAC
5 - 1
MWA
69%
19%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 4
NAC
29%
26%
46%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 nov. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 0
CSM
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 0
PAY
74%
17%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 2005 |
JUN
1 - 2
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 nov. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 2
REN
55%
24%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2005 |
TAC
1 - 0
DEF
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |