Uruguay - Final de Campeones . Semifinal
Global 5-2
Análisis Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
EST
42%
28%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 jun. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
PAL
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 3
CEN
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jun. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
DEF
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 2
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 may. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 3
TAC
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 may. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |