Uruguay - Final de Campeones . Final
Global 4-2
Análisis Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.67
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 2
EST
42%
28%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 1
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
DEF
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |