Análisis Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
53.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 4
NAC
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 may. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
CSM
76%
17%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2014 |
CER
1 - 3
NAC
24%
26%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 jul. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 may. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEF
51%
24%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 may. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 may. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
MWA
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |