Análisis Nacional vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+32%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2015 |
ETS
1 - 1
NAC
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2015 |
NAC
4 - 3
CER
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 sep. 2015 |
SFE
0 - 1
NAC
46%
26%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 3
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
PLA
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
LAN
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2015 |
LAN
0 - 0
DEF
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2015 |
LFC
2 - 1
DEF
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 1
DEF
22%
24%
55%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |