Análisis Nacional vs Estudiantes La Plata
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.1%
Probabilidad gana
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 0
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
BAN
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 feb. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
FEN
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 feb. 2018 |
BAN
2 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 3
NAC
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2018 |
HUR
1 - 0
EST
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2018 |
EST
2 - 0
CAU
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 feb. 2018 |
GLP
0 - 0
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2018 |
EST
4 - 2
NOB
53%
27%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2018 |
IND
1 - 2
EST
55%
25%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |