Análisis Nacional vs Fénix
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
14.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 2
NAC
54%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 2
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2022 |
NAC
0 - 0
EST
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 1
ALB
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2022 |
DEF
2 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
30%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
CSC
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 2022 |
FEN
2 - 0
CEL
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2022 |
RIV
3 - 1
FEN
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |