Análisis Nacional vs Peñarol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
68%
19%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2020 |
MWA
2 - 2
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2020 |
ALI
0 - 1
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 feb. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 2
CEL
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2020 |
REN
2 - 0
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JWI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DAN
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
PEÑ
60%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2020 |
DEF
2 - 1
PEÑ
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CER
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |