Análisis Nacional vs Racing Montevideo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2016 |
COR
2 - 2
NAC
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2016 |
SUD
1 - 1
NAC
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
COR
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEN
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 2
CEN
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 abr. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 3
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2016 |
LFC
3 - 2
RAC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 3
REN
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 abr. 2016 |
DAN
1 - 1
RAC
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
32%
27%
42%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |