Análisis Nacional vs River Plate Montevideo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
22%
Probabilidad gana
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2015 |
ETS
0 - 1
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
SUD
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2015 |
RIV
4 - 0
JUN
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 1
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 feb. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 5
ATE
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
DAN
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2014 |
RAC
0 - 2
RIV
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |